Broderick, Ciaran and Fealy, Rowan (2014) An analysis of the synoptic and climatological applicability of circulation type classifications for Ireland. International Journal of Climatology, 35. pp. 481-505. ISSN 0899-8418
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Abstract
Circulation type classifications compiled as part of the COST733 Action, ‘Harmonisation and Application
of Weather Type Classifications for European Regions’, were evaluated based on their ability to describe variations in
surface temperature (maximum and minimum) and precipitation across the Irish landmass. In all 16 different classification
schemes, representative of four general approaches in synoptic typing (leader algorithm, optimization scheme, predefined
types, eigenvector analysis) were considered. Several statistical measures variously quantifying performance in arranging
daily observations into clearly defined homogenous groups were employed. Based on the results it was not possible to identify
a single optimum classification or general approach in synoptic typing. This is related to inconsistencies in performance with
respect to the specific target variable and statistical measures used; the results were also shown to be conditional on the number
of circulation types (CTs) as well as spatiotemporal dependencies in performance. However, the study did indicate that those
typing schemes based on predefined thresholds (Litynski, GrossWetterTypes, LambWeather Type) – along with the Kruizinga
and Lund classifications – were better able to resolve surface temperature. With respect to precipitation those classifications
derived using some optimization procedure (simulated annealing, Self Organizing Maps, k-means clustering) were consistently
among the best-performing schemes. In capturing the relationship between synoptic-scale circulation and precipitation the
importance of incorporating somemeasure of vorticitywas highlighted; in contrast the inclusion of discrete directional patterns
was shown to be important for resolving variations in local temperature. The classifications generally performed best for
winter, reflecting the closer coupling between circulation and surface conditions during this period. Spatial patterns in the
synoptic–climatological relationship were more apparent for precipitation. In this case those more westerly/south-westerly
stations open to zonal airflow exhibited a stronger response to circulation variability.
Item Type: | Article |
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Keywords: | circulation classification; circulation types; synoptic climatology; atmospheric circulation; |
Academic Unit: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Geography Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Institutes > Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units, ICARUS |
Item ID: | 8738 |
Identification Number: | 10.1002/joc.3996 |
Depositing User: | Rowan Fealy |
Date Deposited: | 06 Sep 2017 09:24 |
Journal or Publication Title: | International Journal of Climatology |
Publisher: | Wiley |
Refereed: | Yes |
Related URLs: | |
URI: | https://mu.eprints-hosting.org/id/eprint/8738 |
Use Licence: | This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here |
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