Mears, Carl A., Wentz, Frank J., Thorne, Peter and Bernie, Dan (2011) Assessing uncertainty in estimates of atmospheric temperature changes from MSU and AMSU using a Monte‐Carlo estimation technique. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116 (8). ISSN 0148-0227
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Abstract
Measurements made by the Microwave Sounding Unit (MSU) and the Advanced
Microwave Sounding Unit (AMSU) provide a multidecadal record of global atmospheric
temperature change, which have been used by several groups to produce long
‐
term
temperature records of thick layers of the atmosphere from the lower troposphere to the
lower stratosphere. Here we present an internal uncertainty estimate for the Remote
Sensing Systems data sets made using a Monte Carlo approach that includes contributions
to the total uncertainty from sampling error, premerge adjustments to each individual
satellite, and the merging procedure. The results can be used to estimate uncertainties
in this product at all space and time scales of interest to any specific application.
On small space and time scales sampling effects dominate. On the longer time scales
intersatellite merging is important at all levels and the diurnal adjustment is a critical
uncertainty for the two layers that have a significant surface component, particularly
over land. A comparison of trends for the globe, tropics, and extratropics between
the best estimate data set along with these error estimates and homogenized radiosonde
estimates and available MSU/AMSU estimates from other groups is undertaken. This
shows consistency between our product and those produced by others within the stated
uncertainty for many regions and layers. In almost as many cases, however, the interdata
set differences of the estimated trends are too large be accounted for by the internal
uncertainty estimates derived herein.
Item Type: | Article |
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Keywords: | atmospheric temperature changes; MSU; AMSU; Monte‐Carlo estimation technique; |
Academic Unit: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Geography Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Institutes > Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units, ICARUS |
Item ID: | 6529 |
Identification Number: | 10.1029/2010JD014954 |
Depositing User: | Peter Thorne |
Date Deposited: | 04 Nov 2015 16:17 |
Journal or Publication Title: | Journal of Geophysical Research |
Publisher: | American Geophysical Union (AGU) |
Refereed: | Yes |
Related URLs: | |
URI: | https://mu.eprints-hosting.org/id/eprint/6529 |
Use Licence: | This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here |
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