Byrne, Graeme, Charlton, Martin and Fotheringham, Stewart (2009) Multiple Dependent Hypothesis Tests in Geographically Weighted Regression. Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on GeoComputation.
Preview
MC_multiple dependent.pdf
Download (868kB) | Preview
Abstract
Geographically weighted regression (Fotheringham et al., 2002) is a method of modelling
spatial variability in regression coefficients. The procedure yields a separate model for
each spatial location in the study area with all models generated from the same data set
using a differential weighting scheme. The weighting scheme, which allows for spatial
variation in the model parameters, involves a bandwidth parameter which is usually deter-
mined from the data using a cross-validation procedure. Part of the main output is a set
of location-specific parameter estimates and associated
t
statistics which can be used to
test hypotheses about individual model parameters. If there are
n
spatial locations and
p
parameters in each model, there will be up to
np
hypotheses to be tested which in most
applications defines a very high order multiple inference problem. Solutions to problems
of this type usually involve an adjustment to the decision rule for individual tests designed
to contain the overall risk of mistaking chance variation for a genuine effect. An undesir-
able by-product of achieving this control is a reduction in statistical power for individual
tests, which may result in genuine effects going undetected. These two competing aspects
of multiple inference have become known as the multiplicity problem. In this paper we
develop a simple Bonferroni style adjustment for testing multiple hypotheses about GWR
model coefficients. The adjustment takes advantage of the intrinsic dependency between
local GWR models to contain the overall risk mentioned above, without the large sacrifice
in power associated with the traditional Bonferroni correction.
We illustrate this adjustment and a range of other corrective procedures on two data
sets. The first models the determinants of educational attainment in the counties of Georgia
USA. Using area based census data we examine the links between levels of educational
attainment and four potential predictors: the proportion of elderly, the proportion who are
foreign born, the proportion living below the poverty line and the proportion of ethnic
blacks. The second model is a geographically weighted hedonic house price model based
on individual mortgage records in Greater London in 1990. In both models we show how
the various corrections can be used to guide the interpretation of the spatial variations in
the parameter estimates. Finally we compare the statistical power of the proposed method
with Bonferroni/Sidak corrections and those based on
false discovery rate
control.
Item Type: | Article |
---|---|
Keywords: | Multiple Dependent Hypothesis Tests; Geographically Weighted Regression; |
Academic Unit: | Faculty of Science and Engineering > Research Institutes > National Centre for Geocomputation, NCG |
Item ID: | 5768 |
Depositing User: | Martin Charlton |
Date Deposited: | 04 Feb 2015 14:46 |
Journal or Publication Title: | Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on GeoComputation |
Publisher: | University of New South Wales |
Refereed: | Yes |
Related URLs: | |
URI: | https://mu.eprints-hosting.org/id/eprint/5768 |
Use Licence: | This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here |
Repository Staff Only (login required)
Downloads
Downloads per month over past year