Sweeney, John and Fealy, Rowan (2006) Downscaling Global Climate Models for Ireland: Providing Future Climate Scenarios. In: National Hydrology Seminar, 2006, Tullamore. (Unpublished)
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Abstract
Previous work using downscaled global circulation output has examined the likely spatial characteristics
of future climate change in Ireland (Sweeney and Fealy, 2003). These likely changes have been shown to
have potentially large effects on water resources and especially on flood and drought frequencies with
increased winter runoff in western parts and decreased summer runoff, especially in eastern Ireland.
Uncertainties in projections involving only one GCM, however, limit the reliability of such climate
scenarios somewhat for future water resource management. GCMs show considerable variability for areas
such as Ireland arising from inherent weaknesses they possess due to problems of scale and feedback. An
approach which seeks to overcome some of these uncertainties by the use of multi-model downscaling is
presented here.
Item Type: | Conference or Workshop Item (Paper) |
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Keywords: | ICARUS; Climate Models; Ireland; Climate Scenarios; Irish Climate Analysis & Research Units; |
Academic Unit: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Geography Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Institutes > Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units, ICARUS |
Item ID: | 2689 |
Depositing User: | Rowan Fealy |
Date Deposited: | 01 Sep 2011 11:28 |
Refereed: | No |
Related URLs: | |
URI: | https://mu.eprints-hosting.org/id/eprint/2689 |
Use Licence: | This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here |
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