Dooley, Katherine, Kelly, Ciaran, Seifert, Natascha, Myslinski, Therese, O'Kelly, Sophie, Siraj, Rushna, Crosby, Ciara, Dunne, Jack Kevin, McCauley, Kate, Donoghue, James, Gaddren, Eoin, Conway, Daniel, Cooney, Jordan, McCarthy, Niamh, Cullen, Eoin, Noone, Simon, Murphy, Conor and Thorne, Peter (2023) Reassessing long-standing meteorological records: an example using the national hottest day in Ireland. Climate of the Past, 19 (1). pp. 1-22. ISSN 1814-9332
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Abstract
This analysis highlights the potential value in re-analysing early national meteorological records from around
the world. These were oftentimes measured via techniques
that preceded standardisation of instrumentation and methods of observation and thus could be subject to considerable
biases and uncertainties. This analysis uses the techniques
pioneered by WMO record assessment teams. The highest
currently recognised air temperature (33.3 ◦C) ever recorded
in the Republic of Ireland was logged at Kilkenny Castle in
1887. The original observational record however no longer
exists. Given that Ireland is now the only country in Europe
to have a national heat record that was set in the 19th century, a reassessment of the verity of this record is both timely
and valuable. The present analysis undertakes a fundamental reassessment of the plausibility of the 1887 temperature
record using methods similar to those used to assess various
weather extremes under WMO auspices over recent years.
Specifically, we undertake an inter-station reassessment using sparse available records and make recourse to the new
and improved 20CRv3 sparse-input reanalysis product. Neither surrounding available stations nor the reanalysis offer
substantive support for the Kilkenny record of 33.3 ◦C being correct. Moreover, recent data rescue efforts have uncovered several earlier extreme values, one of which exceeds
the Kilkenny value (33.5 ◦C on 16 July 1876 recorded at the
Phoenix Park). However, the sparsity of early observational
networks, a distinct lack of synoptic support from 20CRv3
for many of the extreme heat values, and the fact that these
measurements were obtained using non-standard exposures
lead us to conclude that there is grossly insufficient evidence
to support any of these 19th century extremes as robust national heat record candidates. Data from the early 20th century onwards benefit from a denser network of stations undertaking measurements in a more standardised manner, many
under the direct auspices of Met Éireann and its predecessors, adhering to WMO guidance and protocols. This enables
more robust cross-checking of records. We argue that the Met
Éireann-recognised 20th century heat record from Boora in
1976 is verified as the most plausible robust national temperature record based upon the synoptic situation and comparisons with nearby neighbouring stations. This measurement of 32.5 ◦C thus likely constitutes the highest reliably
recorded temperature measurement in the Republic of Ireland. Ultimately, the formal decision on any reassessment
and reassignment of the national record rests with the national meteorological service, Met Éireann.
Item Type: | Article |
---|---|
Keywords: | 20th century; Air temperature; Analysis; Communication; Extreme heat; Extreme high temperatures; Extreme values; |
Academic Unit: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Geography |
Item ID: | 18697 |
Identification Number: | 10.5194/cp-19-1-2023 |
Depositing User: | Simon Noone |
Date Deposited: | 27 Jun 2024 13:19 |
Journal or Publication Title: | Climate of the Past |
Publisher: | Copernicus GmbH |
Refereed: | Yes |
Related URLs: | |
URI: | https://mu.eprints-hosting.org/id/eprint/18697 |
Use Licence: | This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here |
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