Tanguy, Maliko, Haslinger, Klaus, Svensson, Cecilia, Parry, Simon, Barker, Lucy J., Hannaford, Jamie and Prudhomme, Christel (2021) Regional Differences in Spatiotemporal Drought Characteristics in Great Britain. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 9. ISSN 2296-665X
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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2021.639649
Abstract
Despite being one of the most damaging natural hazards, droughts and their
spatiotemporal dynamics are typically not well understood. Great Britain, which is
the focus of this work, has experienced many major drought episodes in the past,
causing a range of socioeconomic and environmental impacts. Here, we apply a recently
developed technique to identify and characterise past droughts, using space-time
connectivity to extract events from a monthly gridded precipitation dataset covering
1862–2015, without imposing fixed geographical boundaries or time-frames. For each
grid cell, the data was aggregated into four new time series using moving averages
over 3-, 6-, 12- and 24-month windows. These reflect a range of response times for
different types of drought impacts. Drought events were then extracted for each time
window separately. In order to assess regional differences in drought characteristics,
each extracted drought was assigned to one of three regions: the South-East (SE),
the North-West (NW) and a “Transition” region in-between them. A frequency analysis
of drought characteristics (duration, area, intensity and severity) highlighted differences
between regions: for short and medium accumulation periods (3, 6, and 12 months),
short and less severe droughts are more frequent in the NW than in the SE, whereas
long, spatially extended and more severe droughts are more frequent in the SE than in
the NW. However, for long accumulation periods (24 months), fewer differences are
observed between the NW and the SE. In the “Transition” region, severe droughts
are less frequent than in the other two regions. A timeline of historic drought events
detected by our method included the vast majority of known drought events from
previous studies, with a few additional ones, and we shed important new light on the
relative severity of these historical drought episodes. Finally, an analysis of the spatial
coherence between regions showed that the most extreme drought events presented
little spatial coherence, whereas less severe droughts tend to be more spatially coherent.
This has important implications for water resources planning and drought management
strategies, particularly given the increasing emphasis on inter-regional water transfers as
a potential solution in situations of extreme drought.
Item Type: | Article |
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Additional Information: | This research is an outcome of the UK Drought & Water Scarcity Programme Historic Droughts project, financial support was provided by the UK Natural Environment Research Council [NE/L01061X/1]. |
Keywords: | spatiotemporal droughts; frequency analysis; return period; spatial coherence; drought area, drought duration, drought severity; |
Academic Unit: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Institutes > Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units, ICARUS |
Item ID: | 17855 |
Identification Number: | 10.3389/fenvs.2021.639649 |
Depositing User: | Corinne Voces |
Date Deposited: | 17 Nov 2023 09:09 |
Journal or Publication Title: | Frontiers in Environmental Science |
Publisher: | Frontiers |
Refereed: | Yes |
Related URLs: | |
URI: | https://mu.eprints-hosting.org/id/eprint/17855 |
Use Licence: | This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here |
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