Slater, Louise J., Anderson, Bailey, Buechel, Marcus, Dadson, Simon, Han, Shasha, Harrigan, Shaun, Kelder, Timo, Kowal, Katie, Lees, Thomas, Matthews, Tom, Murphy, Conor and Wilby, Robert L. (2021) Nonstationary weather and water extremes: a review of methods for their detection, attribution, and management. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 25 (7). pp. 3897-3935. ISSN 1607-7938
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Abstract
Hydroclimatic extremes such as intense rainfall, floods, droughts, heatwaves, and wind or storms have devastating effects each year. One of the key challenges for society is understanding how these extremes are evolving and likely to unfold beyond their historical distributions under the influence of multiple drivers such as changes in climate, land cover, and other human factors. Methods for analysing hydroclimatic extremes have advanced considerably in recent decades. Here we provide a review of the drivers, metrics, and methods for the detection, attribution, management, and projection of nonstationary hydroclimatic extremes. We discuss issues and uncertainty associated with these approaches (e.g. arising from insufficient record length, spurious nonstationarities, or incomplete representation of nonstationary sources in modelling frameworks), examine empirical and simulation-based frameworks for analysis of nonstationary extremes, and identify gaps for future research.
Item Type: | Article |
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Additional Information: | Cite as: Slater, L.J., Anderson, B., Buechel, M., Dadson, S., Han, S., Harrigan, S., Kelder, T., Kowal, K., Lees, T., Matthews, T., Murphy, C. and Wilby, R.L. (2021) 'Nonstationary weather and water extremes: a review of methods for their detection, attribution, and management', Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 25(7), 3897, available: https://link.gale.com/apps/doc/A667733590/AONE?u=nuim&sid=summon&xid=bd758c2e [accessed 25 Apr 2022]. |
Keywords: | nonstationary; Hydroclimatic extremes; climate; |
Academic Unit: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Geography Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Institutes > Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units, ICARUS |
Item ID: | 15856 |
Identification Number: | 10.5194/hess-25-3897-2021 |
Depositing User: | Conor Murphy |
Date Deposited: | 25 Apr 2022 09:07 |
Journal or Publication Title: | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences |
Publisher: | Gale Academic Onefile |
Refereed: | Yes |
Related URLs: | |
URI: | https://mu.eprints-hosting.org/id/eprint/15856 |
Use Licence: | This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here |
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