Osman, Mugtaba, Parnell, Andrew and McCauley, MacDara (2018) Effect of the Irish Civil War 1922-1923 on suicide rates in Ireland: a retrospective investigation of the archives of the registrar general for Saorstát Éireann. Epidemiology Biostatistics and Public Health, 15 (3). e12920. ISSN 2282-0930
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Abstract
Introduction: Emile Durkheim differentiated between two types of wars: National and Civil Wars in terms of effect
on suicide mortality. This study investigates Durkheim’s assertion by examining the effect of Irish Civil War on the
1882-1928 suicide rates trend.
Method: The study is based on vital statistics data sourced from Central Statistics Office of Ireland. We used AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average with Explanatory variables (ARIMAX) design adopting Bayesian approach.
Results: The Standardized Mortality Rate SMR for death by suicide for the total Irish population during the civil war
period were reduced by 0.041417 (95% Credible Interval CI: -0.2421749 to 0.15934012). The SMR for death
by suicide for the total Irish population during the First World War period were reduced by 0.206202 (95% CI:
-0.3776463 to -0.03475746).
Conclusion: Evidence from this study support a significant drop in terms of the intensity of suicidal behaviour in the
Irish population during World War I more so than during the Irish Civil War.
Item Type: | Article |
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Additional Information: | This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives 4.0 International License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ |
Keywords: | suicide; Ireland; Irish Civil war; World War 1; Durkheim’s theory; |
Academic Unit: | Faculty of Science and Engineering > Research Institutes > Hamilton Institute Faculty of Science and Engineering > Mathematics and Statistics |
Item ID: | 13272 |
Identification Number: | 10.2427/12920 |
Depositing User: | Andrew Parnell |
Date Deposited: | 24 Sep 2020 13:54 |
Journal or Publication Title: | Epidemiology Biostatistics and Public Health |
Refereed: | Yes |
Related URLs: | |
URI: | https://mu.eprints-hosting.org/id/eprint/13272 |
Use Licence: | This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here |
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