Shaw, Timothy A., Plater, Andrew J, Kirby, Jason R, Roy, Keven, Holgate, Simon, Tutman, Pero, Cahill, Niamh and Horton, Benjamin P. (2018) Tectonic influences on late Holocene relative sea levels from the central-eastern Adriatic coast of Croatia. Quaternary Science Reviews, 200. pp. 262-275. ISSN 0277-3791
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Abstract
Differential tectonic activity is a key factor responsible for variable relative sea-level (RSL) changes during
the late Holocene in the Adriatic. Here, we compare reconstructions of RSL from the central-eastern
Adriatic coast of Croatia with ICE-7G_NA (VM7) glacial-isostatic model RSL predictions to assess underlying driving mechanisms of RSL change during the past ~ 2700 years. Local standardized published
sea-level index points (n ¼ 23) were combined with a new salt-marsh RSL reconstruction and tide-gauge
measurements. We enumerated fossil foraminifera from a short salt-marsh sediment core constrained
vertically by modern foraminiferal distributions, and temporally by radiometric analyses providing subcentury resolution within a Bayesian age-depth framework. We modelled changes in RSL using an ErrorsIn-Variables Integrated Gaussian Process (EIV-IGP) model with full consideration of the available uncertainty. Previously established index points show RSL rising from 1.48 m at 715 BCE to 1.05 m by 100
CE at 0.52 mm/yr (0.82-1.87 mm/yr). Between 500 and 1000 CE RSL was 0.7 m below present rising
to 0.25 m at 1700 CE. RSL rise decreased to a minimum rate of 0.13 mm/yr (0.37-0.64 mm/yr) at ~1450
CE. The salt-marsh reconstruction shows RSL rose ~0.28 m since the early 18th century at an average rate
of 0.95 mm/yr. Magnitudes and rates of RSL change during the twentieth century are concurrent with
long-term tide-gauge measurements, with a rise of ~1.1 mm/yr. Predictions of RSL from the ICE-7G_NA
(VM7) glacial-isostatic model (0.25 m at 715 BCE) are consistently higher than the reconstruction
(1.48 m at 715 BCE) during the Late Holocene suggesting a subsidence rate of 0.45 ± 0.6 mm/yr. The new
salt-marsh reconstruction and regional index points coupled with glacial-isostatic and statistical models
estimate the magnitude and rate of RSL change and subsidence caused by the Adriatic tectonic
framework.
Item Type: | Article |
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Keywords: | Relative sea level; Adriatic; Croatia; Late Holocene; Glacial isostatic adjustment; Tectonic subsidence; Salt marsh; Foraminifera; |
Academic Unit: | Faculty of Science and Engineering > Mathematics and Statistics |
Item ID: | 13159 |
Identification Number: | 10.1016/j.quascirev.2018.09.015 |
Depositing User: | Niamh Cahill |
Date Deposited: | 31 Jul 2020 16:38 |
Journal or Publication Title: | Quaternary Science Reviews |
Publisher: | Elsevier |
Refereed: | Yes |
Related URLs: | |
URI: | https://mu.eprints-hosting.org/id/eprint/13159 |
Use Licence: | This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here |
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