Philipona, R., Mears, C., Fujiwara, Masatomo, Jeannet, Pierre, Thorne, Peter, Bodeker, Greg, Haimberger, L., Hervo, Maxime, Popp, Christoph, Romanens, Gonzague, Steinbrecht, Wolfgang, Stübi, Rene and Van Malderen, Roeland (2018) Radiosondes Show That After Decades of Cooling, the Lower Stratosphere Is Now Warming. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 123. pp. 12509-12522. ISSN 2169-8996
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Abstract
Since the mid-twentieth century, radiosonde and satellite measurements show that the
troposphere has warmed and the stratosphere has cooled. These changes are primarily due to increasing
concentrations of well-mixed greenhouse gases and the depletion of stratospheric ozone. In response to
continued greenhouse gas increases and stratospheric ozone depletion, climate models project continued
tropospheric warming and stratospheric cooling over the coming decades. Global average satellite
observations of lower stratospheric temperatures exhibit no significant trends since the turn of the century. In
contrast, an analysis of vertically resolved radiosonde measurements from 60 stations shows an increase of
lower stratospheric temperature since the turn of the century at altitudes between 15 and 30 km and over
most continents. Trend estimates are somewhat sensitive to homogeneity assessment choices, but all
investigated radiosonde data sets suggest a change from late twentieth century cooling to early 21st century
warming in the lower stratosphere, which is consistent with a reversal from ozone depletion to recovery
from the effects of ozone-depleting substances. In comparison, satellite observations at the radiosonde
locations show only minor early 21st century warming, possibly due to the compensating effects of
continued cooling above the radiosonde altitude range.
Item Type: | Article |
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Keywords: | Radiosondes Show; Decades of Cooling; Lower Stratosphere; Warming; |
Academic Unit: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Geography Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Institutes > Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units, ICARUS |
Item ID: | 11087 |
Identification Number: | 10.1029/2018JD028901 |
Depositing User: | Peter Thorne |
Date Deposited: | 24 Sep 2019 14:08 |
Journal or Publication Title: | Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres |
Publisher: | American Geophysical Union (AGU) |
Refereed: | Yes |
Related URLs: | |
URI: | https://mu.eprints-hosting.org/id/eprint/11087 |
Use Licence: | This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here |
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